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Collapse!!!!!
John Wilson | posted 3/01/2005





Collapse:
How Societies
Choose to Fail
or Succeed

by Jared Diamond
Viking, 2004
592 pp. $17.97


State Of Fear
by Michael Crichton
HarperCollins, 2004
603 pp. $16.77

Longtime readers may recall the interview with Jared Diamond that appeared in our May/June 1999 issue ["Continental Gifts," interview by Karl Giberson and Donald Yerxa] and Don Yerxa's review of Diamond's Pulitzer Prize-winning book, Gun, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies, in the same issue (under the "History Wars" rubric). A handful of readers may even remember the Books & Culture Corner piece from the following year in which I took a critical look at Diamond's contribution to the 100th anniversary issue of Natural History magazine [www.christianitytoday.com/ct/2000/151/11.0.html]. Recalling or revisiting these pieces, you may rightly conclude, first, that Diamond is worth reading and, second, that when you're reading him it's wise to have a large salt shaker close at hand.

Diamond is back with a new book that commands attention: Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed (Viking). In it, he considers various societies that have suffered calamitous collapse at least in part as a result of their response to environmental problems; among his many examples are the Maya, the Anasazi, Easter Island, and Norse Greenland. He gives some attention, though not nearly as much, to successful counterexamples before turning to modern societies; he treats the genocide in Rwanda, for example, as an instance of "Malthus in Africa," driven primarily by high population density and an acute shortage of land. His overarching argument, however, bears not on any particular modern society but on what he regards as a worldwide environmental crisis that must be faced if we hope to avoid the outcome of those admonitory case studies.

The journals Nature (January 6, 2005) and Science (January 7, 2005) published rave reviews of Diamond's book. Science's reviewer, Tim Flannery, concluded thus: "It is probably the most important book you will ever read." Neither reviewer raises even a single point of criticism, though William Rees in Nature wishes that Diamond's selective look at modern societies had included "a detailed consideration of the United States, Diamond's own country and the one imposing the greatest ecological load on the planet."

Perhaps this striking unanimity in the two most prestigious science journals is a tribute to the compelling force of Diamond's argument. Or maybe it is a sign of the craven groupthink of politicized science that Michael Crichton deplores in his new novel, State of Fear (HarperCollins), which should be read alongside Diamond's Collapse.

Crichton's book is a wickedly funny satire in which rogue environmentalists commit murder and mayhem in an effort to dramatize their cause (and get more funding). Running throughout is a contemptuous dismissal of global warming, with many citations (this is a novel with footnotes), but Crichton has other fish to fry as well. He wants to provoke readers to ask themselves how they know what they think they know. If—as happens to be the case—I believe that global warming is probably a reality, do I have good reasons, or have I simply accepted one of the latest received ideas of the intelligentsia? As his title suggests, Crichton is also making an argument about fear as an instrument of social control and political leverage. (Keep an eye out for a piece on this theme by Scott Bader-Saye, which will appear in Books & Culture later this year.)

Of course you'll need to keep that salt shaker handy while reading Crichton, too. For all their differences, he and Diamond worship at the same shrine, at the altar of scientism.


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